View: Though still bad by any count, Q2 GDP data shows the economy on the mend

Don’t expect the world (trade) to come to our rescue.

Synopsis

The reality is that once you’ve plumbed the depths (Q1 GDP contracted 23.9%), there’s only one way to go: up. Partial lifting of the lockdown in Q2 was bound to see the economy do much better — in comparison. Never mind that the second consecutive quarter decline in GDP takes us formally into recession for the first time in living memory.

It is a measure of the strange times in which we live that a 7.5% contraction in the country’s GDP during Q2 should be greeted with relief, bordering on joy. Remember, it was not so long ago (2017-18) that we were not satisfied with 7.2% growth and dreamed of growing at double digits. Whatever happened? Agreed, Covid-19 happened. But the inescapable fact is that the economy had slowed down earlier. Covid only exacerbated matters.The reality is

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