Election night: what we know so far

Here is what we know so far on Saturday night in the federal election as counting continues across the country.

Is there a clear winner yet?

Scott Morrison has conceded that Anthony Albanese will be the next prime minister, and announced his resignation as leader of the Liberal party. The question now is whether it will be a minority or majority Labor government.

There has been a modest 2.97% swing to Labor nationally, as at 10.50pm. It looks as though Labor will be close to an overall majority, but it’s unclear whether it will scrape across or fall just short, with several seats still in doubt.

The main story of the night has been a huge growth in first preference votes for minor parties and independents, who will win a swag of seats.

The Greens look to have had one of their best results. ABC election analyst Antony Green has called the Queensland seat of Ryan for the Greens. The party also looks increasingly likely to pick up Griffith from Labor, and is a strong chance in Brisbane, held by the LNP, though Labor also retains hopes there.

The high number of voters who opted to postal vote might mean that results for some electorates, especially tight contests, may take some time.

How many seats have a clear result?

Several hours into counting, analysts are growing more confident in calling seats, but some seats are too close to call.

Guardian Australia’s election analyst Ben Raue had called 98 seats by 9.50pm. You can read the seats he has called on our results page here.

Have any teal independent seats been called?

Teal independents have made significant gains in previously safely held Liberal seats.

Independent Allegra Spender has won the seat of Wentworth, in Sydney’s eastern suburbs and Zali Steggall has retained the seat of Warringah on Sydney’s northern beaches. That’s the seat Katherine Deves is contesting for the Liberal party.

In North Sydney, independent Kylea Tink looks a strong chance to take the seat from Liberal MP Trent Zimmerman.

Just north of Warringah, the independent Sophie Scamps also appears on track to take the seat of Mackellar from Liberal MP Jason Falinski.

In the Melbourne seat of Kooyong, Monique Ryan is ahead of Liberal MP and treasurer Josh Frydenberg. Votes are still being counted, but Frydenberg has conceded a win for him is now “definitely difficult”.

Liberal MP Tim Wilson also looks set to lose his Melbourne seat of Goldstein to independent candidate Zoe Daniel.

In the WA seat of Curtin, the independent Kate Chaney seems very likely to defeat the Liberal candidate.

Which other seats have changed hands?

Aside from the above teal independent and Greens contests, here are the seats that look most likely to change hands:

Labor has won the seat of Chisholm in Melbourne, with a swing of 7.47%. It is also on track to win Reid in Sydney, Robertson on the NSW Central Coast, Higgins in Melbourne.

Labor has enjoyed a huge swing in Western Australia and looks set to take the seats of Swan, Pearce and Hasluck, with strong chances also in Moore and Tangney.

But Kristina Keneally has lost the western Sydney seat of Fowler to the independent Dai Le.

Seats still very much in the balance include Gilmore on the NSW south coast, where the former NSW transport minister Andrew Constance is narrowly ahead of the Labor MP Fiona Phillips. Bennelong in Sydney, held by the LNP, is 50-50, and the ALP also has hopes of picking up Menzies in Victoria, but is struggling to hold on to Lyons, in Tasmania. In the NSW seat of Cowper, an independent, Caz Heise, has a chance of unseating the National party MP Pat Conaghan.

We’ll be updating this story throughout the night.



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