The year 2023 was very interesting. Initially, the world was concerned of a global recession after interest rates were hiked by 4.25% in 2022, and inflation was still not under control; the banks had moved from QE to QT (money supply easing to tightening) and money supply world over was slowing down. The bright spot … Read more
Investors are facing a pivotal week as a key measure of inflation that hits Tuesday and the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate decision on Wednesday are expected to set the tone for the stock market and economy heading into 2024. Growing speculation that the Fed is done hiking rates and will start cutting by mid-year is fueling … Read more
Morgan Stanley economists forecast the Federal Reserve to make deep interest-rate cuts over the next two years as inflation cools, while Goldman Sachs Group Inc. analysts expect fewer reductions and a later start. The central bank will start cutting rates in June 2024, then again in September and every meeting from the fourth quarter onward, … Read more
During the September FOMC meeting, the Federal Reserve maintained the federal funds rate target range at a 22-year high of 5.25%-5.5%. Fed Chair Jerome Powell, however, conveyed that interest rates must remain elevated for an extended period due to the renewed strength in the economy. While the central bank is nearing the end of its … Read more
A hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve, soaring Treasury yields and a looming government shutdown are adding to a cocktail of risks that has spooked investors and clouded the outlook for U.S. equities. U.S. stocks have slid more than 6% from their late July highs, and the past week has been particularly nerve-wracking for investors. … Read more
For the first time since the Federal Reserve started raising interest rates almost 18 months ago, the labor market is showing enough cracks to embolden some of the world’s largest bond investors to bet that the tightening cycle is finally ending. A spate of slowing employment metrics this week, crowned by Friday’s August payrolls report, … Read more
The ongoing instability of the world banking sector will urge central banks to go slow on aggressive monetary policy. We can expect the rates to peak in the next couple of months.And the world economy and stock market will take it with open arms. Generally, it is a good development, preaching out the probability of … Read more
Federal Reserve officials are set to shift down the pace of interest-rate hikes again in the coming week amid signs of slowing inflation, while Friday’s jobs report may show steady demand for workers that improves the chances of a soft landing for the world’s largest economy. Policy makers are poised to raise their benchmark federal … Read more
The longest streak of foreign inflows to Indian bonds in five years faces a key test Monday, with local inflation data expected to show signs of cooling price pressure. Global funds have poured a cumulative $465 million into Indian bonds over 13 straight days, the longest stretch since June 2017, on optimism that the US … Read more
Making money was easy for investors when they could still plausibly believe that the Federal Reserve might back down on its aggressive campaign to subdue inflation at any cost. But harsh words from the Fed chair, Jerome Powell, backed by a string of large interest rate increases, finally convinced markets that the central bank meant … Read more