Analysts believe the market is yet to fully price in the company’s exposure to silver, even as global peers such as Fresnillo and Grupo Mexico have already re-rated in 2025. With consensus expectations still trailing the rally, they see significant room for Hindustan Zinc’s valuation to catch up — a rating that would directly benefit parent Vedanta Ltd (VEDL), where the company accounts for 40% of consolidated EBITDA.
Also read: Nifty gets fresh look with 2 new stocks; Hero MotoCorp, IndusInd Bank drop out“Interestingly, silver is a by-product of zinc, which implies that 88% of silver revenue is a direct pass-through to EBITDA as the cost of production remains tied to zinc production. We retain BUY on VEDL, with a price target of Rs 525 per share,” the brokerage added. The forecast implies an upside potential of 22% from the last close.
HZ posted EBITDA of Rs 17,400 crore in FY25 with a margin of 53%. If spot prices of zinc and silver hold, the brokerage expects EBITDA to climb to Rs 22,000 crore with a 57% margin by FY27.
Globally, HZ is among the top silver producers, mining 22.5 million ounces annually — ahead of Grupo Mexico (12.1Moz) and not far behind leaders like Fresnillo (52.5Moz) and Newmont (28Moz). It operates in the first quartile of the global zinc cost curve with a 25-year mine life.
HZ also ranks number 1 globally in the S&P corporate sustainability assessment for metals and mining and is stepping up its energy transition plans, targeting a rise in renewable power use from 13% currently to 70% by FY28.Read more: $75 billion gone from Tata stocks in 2025 so far. What’s ailing India’s top conglomerate?
At about 10:30 am, shares of Hindustan Zinc were trading at their day’s high of Rs 480, higher by 3% from the last close on the NSE. The stock is up 8% on a year-to-date basis. Vedanta shares also traded at their day’s high of Rs 462, up 2.3%. The stock is up over 7% in the last 1 month.
(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)