Is Fed behind the curve? As unemployment rises in US, worries mount

Is Fed behind the curve? As unemployment rises in US, worries mount

Federal Reserve officials held off on cutting interest rates this week because they wanted to see slightly more data to feel confident that inflation is truly coming under control. While that approach is cautious when it comes to price increases, Friday’s employment report underscored that it might be a risky one when it comes to … Read more

Fed rate cut not likely next week, but possible in September: Peter Cardillo

Fed rate cut not likely next week, but possible in September: Peter Cardillo

Peter Cardillo of Spartan Capital Securities LLC, says there is a very good possibility that with the weakness coming out of the Chinese economy, which will eventually hurt the global economy, we might get a surprise move by the Fed in September by half a percent rather than a quarter of a percent. And I … Read more

Gold tumbles on solid US nonfarm payroll report, China slowing down gold buying

Gold tumbles on solid US nonfarm payroll report, China slowing down gold buying

Buoyed by rate cut expectations after the Bank of Canada and the European Central Bank (ECB) cut rates earlier this week, spot gold rose to $2,387 on Friday, the highest level since May 22. However, the metal crashed on a robust US nonfarm payroll report. Spot gold closed with a loss of 3.49% at $2,294 … Read more

Jefferies says US stocks can rally even if Fed doesn’t cut rates

Jefferies says US stocks can rally even if Fed doesn’t cut rates

Traders spooked by Wednesday’s hotter-than-expected inflation print need not to worry, according to Jefferies’ David Zervos, who says risk assets can thrive with or without interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. The S&P 500 Index dropped more than 1% Wednesday after the latest consumer price index topped economists’ forecasts, renewing concerns that the Fed … Read more

Fed still sees three rate cuts in 2024 amid sticky inflation, stronger economy

Fed still sees three rate cuts in 2024 amid sticky inflation, stronger economy

The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady on Wednesday, but policymakers indicated they still expect to reduce them by three-quarters of a percentage point by the end of 2024 despite stodgier expected progress towards the U.S. central bank’s 2% inflation target. The Fed‘s new policy statement described inflation as remaining “elevated,” and updated quarterly economic … Read more

Nomura expects Fed to cut interest rates by 100 bps in 2024

Nomura expects Fed to cut interest rates by 100 bps in 2024

Nomura on Friday forecast the U.S. Federal Reserve delivering a 100-basis-point interest rate cut in 2024 and reducing the pace of balance-sheet rundown in June, followed by an end to quantitative tightening in December. “We expect Friday’s PCE (personal consumption expenditures) report to show the 3m and 6m annualized pace of core PCE running below … Read more

Ajay Bagga on the big market triggers to watch out for in 2024

Ajay Bagga on the big market triggers to watch out for in 2024

“Overall, the big trigger will be the Fed rate cut which should happen by March, April and we will have to see the magnitude of that so the big defining trend for this year will be rate cuts across the world,” says Ajay Bagga, Chairman, Elyments Platforms 2024 is indeed going to be a crucial … Read more

Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley diverge on Fed rate-cut forecasts

Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley diverge on Fed rate-cut forecasts

Morgan Stanley economists forecast the Federal Reserve to make deep interest-rate cuts over the next two years as inflation cools, while Goldman Sachs Group Inc. analysts expect fewer reductions and a later start. The central bank will start cutting rates in June 2024, then again in September and every meeting from the fourth quarter onward, … Read more