View: States are not facing a shortage of Covid vaccines, but there is a demand-supply mismatch

Wastage in India is witnessed primarily at the level of distribution. These are all operational management issues, and not intractable.

Synopsis

Some states have raised the issue of vaccine shortages. Vaccine manufacturers are facing problems in procuring adjuvants from the US to further expand production capacity. The imposition of the Defence Production Act by the US can be one reason. Regardless, there has been no curtailment of supplies to states.

India reported a record single day rise of over 200,000 cases on April 14. The effective reproduction number (Rt) — the number of people in a population who can get infected by one individual — has breached 2 in Uttar Pradesh (2.14), Jharkhand (2.13) and Bihar (2.09).

A simulation model by the Tata Institute of Fundamental Research (TIFR) and the Indian Institute of Science (IISc) predicts that fatalities due to Covid-19 will peak in May. The

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